Simulation of population growth in coastal countiesSource: HGK According to the calendar, most overnight stays in commercial accommodation facilities during the year are realized in July and August: in July about 29%, and in August about 33%, which clearly shows that seasonality is one of our biggest problems, says the Croatian Chamber of Commerce in the tourist season.In 2017, as many as 49,2 million overnight stays, or about 95% of the total number of overnight stays in those two months, were realized in six coastal counties. Considering that over 60% of all tourist overnight stays in the year are realized in July and August, and 91% of tourist overnight stays are realized in 6 counties, we can talk about the territorial concentration and time constraints of Croatian tourism. It becomes even more visible if we compare the number of realized tourist nights in the best (August) and worst (January) month of the year: the ratio is around 60: 1. For comparison, the first next country in the EU in terms of this ratio is Greece, with approximately 20: 1.”According to estimates of the increase in the number of “inhabitants” for the six strongest tourist counties and their individual cities and towns and the impact of seasonal increase in demand on their functioning, the data show a high concentration of overnight stays in only two months of the central season. Croatia. From this additionally arises the need to expand the offer and generally measures that would allow the extension of the season, or allow a longer tourist pre-season and post-season. This is especially true for smaller, tourist-attractive places where, during the main tourist season, the number of “inhabitants” increases more than five times, which requires the adjustment of infrastructure and other supply of goods and services to such short-term increased demand.Said the director of the Sector for Financial Institutions and Economic Analysis, Zvonimir Savić. The calculation showed that the range of the expected increase in population in August 2018, based on the arrivals and overnight stays of tourists in the counties in Adriatic Croatia, is moving from 40% in Split-Dalmatia to 129% in Istria County. In order to assess the growth of demand in trade and tourism, to assess the load on communal infrastructure at the peak of the tourist season, but also to further emphasize the extreme seasonality of tourism in Croatia, HGK made a calculation that results in an estimate of population growth in coastal counties and stronger tourist centers. In Medulin (a municipality of about 6.000 inhabitants) and Nin (a town with less than 3.000 inhabitants) an expected increase is 469% and 447%, respectively. That means yes population during August increases by about 5,5 times in both places due to the arrivals and overnight stays of tourists. This represents the largest increase among the observed tourist centers in Adriatic Croatia in August.Read this extremely important and interesting analysis in its entirety in the attachment.PRLOG: HGK analysis / Estimation of population increase in the tourist season
Russia is racing to reinforce its troops in Syria by sea and air before talks between the Russian and Turkish leaders in Moscow on Thursday, flight data and shipping movements show.The two presidents, Vladimir Putin and Tayyip Erdogan, agreed to meet after a surge in tensions between their countries over fighting in Syria’s Idlib province between Russian-backed Syrian government forces and rebels allied to Turkey.The fighting has raised the prospect of a direct clash between their armies, which operate in close proximity on opposing sides, and Erdogan hopes the talks will yield a ceasefire in Idlib. Reuters’ monitoring of the Bosphorus since Feb. 28 shows Russia has sent five warships towards Syria within six days. That exceeds a usual pattern of one or two warships ships per week.The Russian military announced the departure of the Admiral Grigorovich and Admiral Makarov frigates for Syria, but three other warships have followed unannounced.One is the Orsk, a landing ship capable of carrying 20 tanks, 50 trucks or 45 armoured personnel carries and up to 400 troops. The others – the Novocherkassk and the Caesar Kunikov – are landing ships that can carry over 300 troops, tanks and armour.Turkey has responded by beefing up its escort protocol for Russian warships using the Bosphorus. Three Turkish patrol boats and a helicopter escorted the Russian frigates – such ships are usually accompanied by a single coast guard vessel.”SHOW OF MUSCLES”Since Feb. 28, at least five passenger and cargo planes operated by the Russian military have also flown to Syria, including three in a single day, the flight data showed.That followed a further 12 military planes in the previous 18 days and represents the most intense level of Russian military air activity with Syria since October.Publicly available tracking data gives only a snapshot of Russian military flights to Syria because not all such planes can be tracked.One person who has worked closely with Russian forces in Syria said Moscow’s reinforcement effort was meant to send Ankara a message and was “a show of muscles”.The same person said the swift build-up was an insurance policy in case the Putin-Erdogan meeting flopped and Ankara applied restrictions on the Bosphorus or in its airspace.Turkey shows sign s of having noticed Russia is also concentrating its forces near its main air base in Syria, Hmeymim, in Latakia province.”Russia is conducting a serious build-up near Hmeymim,” said a Turkish security official, who added that Moscow had also stepped up its logistical support for the Syrian army.”These are steps that may damage the positive atmosphere that could be found before tomorrow’s meeting,” said the official though hoping for “positive results”. Topics : A Reuters analysis of flight data and correspondents’ monitoring of shipping in the Bosphorus Strait in northwestern Turkey show Russia began to step up naval and airborne deliveries to Syria on Feb. 28, the day after 34 Turkish soldiers were killed in an air strike in Syria.That incident prompted concern in Moscow that Turkey might close the Bosphorus to Russian warships and bar Russian military transport planes from using Turkish air space.The Russian Defence Ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment. A Turkish official, who asked not to be identified, said there was no plan to close the strait, which would force Russia to take longer routes to Syria.But Russia appears to be reinforcing Syria at its fastest rate since October, when US forces withdrew from some parts of Syria and Moscow scrambled to fill the vacuum.
Tipp FM’s live coverage of the match gets underway at 10 to 2 tomorrow and will be brought to you in association with Tipperary Renault dot ie That’s according to manager Liam Kearns, whose side face the Lilywhites at the Sportsfield in Clonmel.Tipp are currently fourth in the Division 3 table with 6 points – the top two at the end of the seven game campaign will go up.Liam says the results last time out means a number of counties are in with a chance of securing a place in Division 2 next year.